The Polycom Mitel merger, rumored to announce as early as this week, has been a major topic in the VoIP community as of lately, and for much good reason.

The merger would be structured as Mitel acquiring Polycom for stock plus some cash, valuing Polycom at about $1.5 billion, according to Bloomberg’s anonymous source.

In this post I’ll sum up my thoughts on this merger and what this could mean for VoIP service providers, and partners.

First, a closer look at Polycom’s past and present.

As more businesses are adopting softphones for their primary telephony use, it’s safe to say that traditional desktop phones is a declining trend and hence a soaring source of revenue for any telecom hardware company.

Polycom would be the first (err second after Cisco) to recognize that the traditional desk phone is a dying area of the business. On one hand – it’s one of the few high performing areas for Polycom today, as the desk phone’s demise isn’t imminent. But that won’t last for long. Businesses are moving to softphones rapidly, as it’s a no-cost, no maintenance alternative to any VoIP hardware.

No doubt Polycom is struggling as a business. Polycom employees have been chatting about leaving the company. Some higher management execs actually have. Last month, we saw Polycom’s Global VP Gary Testa leave the company for Star2Star Communications. From the days of CEO Andy Miller, they placed huge bets on video and it’s never paid off. Some would argue that Peter Leav helped put the company in a better place. But feedback from a Polycom employee (via Glassdoor), hints otherwise:

“There have been four CEOs in seven years and upper management has jumped ship in key areas. The CEO hired in late 2013 (Peter Leav) has not visited the Colorado location in two years. Very much a top down mentality and the front line staff and leadership have little say in major decisions. Diversity is not valued at a corporate value like other organizations. Difficult to recommend this company given instability with reductions in force and reorganizations. Offices have shut down and the most recent reductions was over 11%.”

Over the past few weeks, I attended Enterprise Connect and Channel Partners, two of the industry’s prominent events for Cloud/Telecom service providers. Naturally this merger talk came up in nearly every conversion with fellow analysts, reporters, as well as service providers.

During one of my briefings with a top level executive from a service provider, that’s recognized as one of Polycom’s top 10 customers in the US, executive said, “As soon as Polycom merges with Mitel, their entire service provider community will shut down.”

In similar conversations throughout the events, I’ve talked to other service providers that told me they would no longer sell Polycom phones if the merger happens. One provider mentioned, “Literally, overnight we will stop selling Polycom and move to an alternative.” It seemed like service providers would feel betrayed and cheated when we talked about the potential merger.

Currently, Polycom’s desk phones, video endpoints, and hardware, in general are one-time sale basis. It makes sense that Polycom wants to get more aggressive in the recurring revenue model (who doesn’t). I can’t help but wonder if this deal with Mitel is a kosher way to do this.

For the most part, Mitel reviews are already quite good as a longtime service provider and a Polycom merger should boost their handset and video quality. But would this merger now make Polycom a service provider, making them a direct competitor/threat to their long time loyal partners and customers?

One thing is for certain, if this happens, we’ll see lots of commotion and shake up in the space, both on the service provider and hardware provider side of things.